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Saturday, November 6, 2004
More on Florida

The more I read about the election, the more I’m sure something’s not right. Check out the article here. I don’t really have anything to add to it.

In Baker County, for example, with 12,887 registered voters, 69.3% of them Democrats and 24.3% of them Republicans, the vote was only 2,180 for Kerry and 7,738 for Bush, the opposite of what is seen everywhere else in the country where registered Democrats largely voted for Kerry.

In Dixie County, with 4,988 registered voters, 77.5% of them Democrats and a mere 15% registered as Republicans, only 1,959 people voted for Kerry, but 4,433 voted for Bush.

The pattern repeats over and over again – but only in the counties where optical scanners were used. Franklin County, 77.3% registered Democrats, went 58.5% for Bush. Holmes County, 72.7% registered Democrats, went 77.25% for Bush.

Yet in the touch-screen counties, where investigators may have been more vigorously looking for such anomalies, high percentages of registered Democrats generally equaled high percentages of votes for Kerry. (I had earlier reported that county size was a variable – this turns out not to be the case. Just the use of touch-screens versus optical scanners.)

The optical scan machines are the ones made by Diebold.

Others offer similar insights, based on other data. A professor at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst, noted that in Florida the vote to raise the minimum wage was approved by 72%, although Kerry got 48%. “The correlation between voting for the minimum wage increase and voting for Kerry isn’t likely to be perfect,” he noted, “but one would normally expect that the gap – of 1.5 million votes – to be far smaller than it was.”

But I agree with Fox’s Dick Morris on this one, at least in large part. Wrapping up his story for The Hill, Morris wrote in his final paragraph, “This was no mere mistake. Exit polls cannot be as wrong across the board as they were on election night. I suspect foul play.”

Related links:
A graph of optical scan vs. touchscreen counties: http://ustogether.org/election04/Liddle_Analysis.html
Table of the same data: http://ustogether.org/Florida_Election.htm

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Posted by alan to politics at 7:16 pm PT | Link | Comments (5)

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5 Comments »

Comment by jcklsgk
2004-11-07 09:35:30

That is very disturbing. And the fact that it happens in a state with a Governor named Bush makes it even more upsetting to me. The question is was it enough to throw the elcetion, it kind of sounds like that to me.

 
Comment by Jason
2004-11-07 21:00:11

Apparently this sort of thing was going on in Ohio too.

http://ohvotesuppression.blogspot.com/

Still too early to say for sure, but it sounds a bit off. In an election that close, a few votes here and there add up real fast.

 
Comment by ToddCommish
2004-11-08 14:40:43

Oh my god, you people are priceless. Did it ever occur to you that John Kerry was simply a shitty candidate with no coherent message?

Exit polls are the weathermen of an election. They might be right some of the time, but you’re foolish to put your faith in their predictions.

 
Comment by alan
2004-11-08 14:46:18

Exit polls can be wrong, yes, but that’s not the main point of this. These are voter registration numbers. It doesn’t seem odd to you at all that counties with 70% registered Democrats vote 70% for Bush?

Or that this only happens in counties with a certain type of voting machine? Or that the exit polls got it right in the states without those types of voting machines?

 
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